Archives: American Strategy Program Articles and Op-Eds

There's an Even Greater Nuke Threat

  • By
  • William D. Hartung,
  • New America Foundation
April 7, 2011 |

The continuing crisis in Japan from the near-meltdown of the Fukushima reactor is terrifying in its own right. But it also raises the question of another, even deadlier nuclear threat.

The evacuations now going on in Japan would pale in comparison to what would be necessary if just one 100-kiloton nuclear bomb were to go off near a major city - not to mention the immediate deaths caused by the bomb, which could reach into the hundreds of thousands. And a 100-kiloton bomb is among the smallest in the U.S. or Russian arsenals.

Invoking the Arab Spring, Iran Rewrites its Own History

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
April 6, 2011 |

The late British statesman Winston Churchill once noted: "The best way to make history is to write it." The Islamic Republic of Iran has been busy mimicking the advice, writing its own "history" of recent Arab upheavals.

Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran's most powerful man, praised recent revolts in several Arab countries as "Islamic awakenings" with "Islamic objectives and orientation". President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said the Egypt and Tunisia uprisings were inspired by Iran's "defiance" against western powers.

Atomic Snowflakes

  • By
  • Brian Till,
  • New America Foundation
April 1, 2011 |

On an ironically clear and placid day in August 2007, a three story tall cooling tower at the Vermont Yankee nuclear power plant collapsed, goring a massive hole in the center of the structure and spewing asbestos, rotting wood, plastic panels, and thousands of gallons of water onto the bank of the Connecticut river. It later emerged that several employees had expressed concerns about the tower, and that, in the days before the collapse, others heard odd noises from within the structure.

As China's Growth Slows, the World Will Feel the Pinch

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
March 16, 2011 |

The Chinese premier Wen Jiabao is not a man given to revolutionary rhetoric. He normally speaks in the dry, careful language characteristic of Beijing's leaders. But six words he uttered last week could have revolutionary consequences for China, the world, and the Middle East.

Did he comment on Libya's civil war? On rising oil prices? On Middle East unrest? None of the above. In fact, he simply made a matter-of-fact declaration about China's future economic intentions. Here were the six words: "We will actively boost consumer demand."

Libya Intervention 'Brings Huge Risks'

  • By
  • Steven Clemons,
  • New America Foundation
March 14, 2011 |

In Libya, a lethally unbalanced leader has decided not to reform his government or heed the calls of his public that he should have been term-limited out long ago, but instead has bombed, machine-gunned, and rolled tanks out against his own citizens.

A deadly, serious struggle is under way in Libya and throughout much of the Middle East and North Africa between ageing authoritarian regimes and their citizens who have had enough of institutionalised human degradation.

Egypt, Libya, and the Folly of the BRICs

  • By
  • Parag Khanna,
  • New America Foundation
February 23, 2011 |

What do Egypt, Iran, Pakistan, and Nigeria all have in common? They are very populous, Muslim-majority countries, all facing constant political unrest and on the brink of collapse. And yet they are also all part of Goldman Sachs' "Next Eleven," the much-anticipated extension of its fabled category of "BRICs"—comprised of Brazil, Russia, India, and China.

Abbas and Fayyad Must Resign Too

  • By
  • Fadi Elsalameen,
  • New America Foundation
February 17, 2011 |

After two decades of failed political moves, the Palestinian Authority represented by its top leadership are hoping to avoid the inevitable: paying a heavy price for corruption of all kinds, alienating the Palestinian people, and failing to negotiate an end to Israel’s occupation.

Threatened and undermined by the Al Jazeera-Guardian Palestine Papers leak, and dismayed by wrongly siding with Egypt’s ousted dictator Hosni Mubarak, the Palestinian Authority is employing desperate political maneuvers.

Egypt: A Teaching Moment?

  • By
  • Amjad Atallah,
  • New America Foundation
February 15, 2011 |

If you live in Washington, DC, the question of what does the Egyptian Revolution mean for Palestine might seem like a strange question. The question du jour here is what does the Egyptian Revolution mean for Israel? The subtext to that second question is what does the Egyptian Revolution mean for Israel's continued occupation and its denial of equality to non-Jewish citizens and residents. Of course, both questions show an Israel/Palestine-centric view of the world.

Israel's Options After Mubarak

  • By
  • Daniel Levy,
  • New America Foundation
February 14, 2011 |

After almost thirty years, President Hosni Mubarak is gone.

For the people of Egypt and especially those with the courage to have taken to the streets it is no doubt a day that is impossible to put into words. For the rest of us, a day of awe, celebration and inspiration.

Some, however, have probably not summoned up too broad a smile today – the other non-democratic regimes of the Middle East for instance. Interestingly, Israel too belongs on that list of the "not-exactly-thrilled".

Egypt Unrest Could Improve Israel Ties

  • By
  • Daniel Levy,
  • New America Foundation
February 11, 2011 |

Despite the fluidity and uncertainty surrounding the political situation in Egypt, one thing seems clear: Egypt and indeed the Middle East will not be the same after January 2011. This will apply even if those in Israel and elsewhere who are pushing for continued military, as opposed to civilian control, and for "democracy with exceptions" -- i.e., Islamists not allowed -- manage to carry the day. (One hopes they will not .) Those governing Egypt will henceforth have to be more responsive to the public will.

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