Archives: American Strategy Program Articles and Op-Eds

An Economic Awakening to Match a Season of Change

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
July 17, 2011 |

For many Arabs across the Middle East and North Africa, the so-called "Arab Spring" will bring a cold bout of economic uncertainty and decline. This is the grim truth of revolutions: they do not yield economic benefit in the short-run.

Rather, they usually make things worse.

U.S. Economic Power is Part of a Healthier Global Order

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
July 4, 2011 |

It is one of the most oft-used clichés of globalisation: "When America sneezes, the world catches a cold." Amid the 2008-2009 American financial crisis and recession, commentators and pundits dusted off that favourite saying as global markets felt the pain of America's storm.

The Role of the Border in the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

  • By
  • Daniel Levy,
  • New America Foundation

In March of this year, the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution hosted a crisis simulation exercise on the Israeli-Palestinian issue. The participants, myself included, assumed the roles of key players from the US, Israeli, and Palestinian sides and were presented with a scenario in which the protagonists were two weeks into the implementation of a US-brokered agreement on borders and security.

Northern Star

  • By
  • Parag Khanna,
  • New America Foundation
  • and Ayesha Khanna, director, Hybrid Reality Institute
June 24, 2011 |

Call it recycling opportunity. After their failed bid to host the 2004 Summer Olympics, Stockholm city leaders decided to turn a would-be sports village in the Hammarby Sjostad district into one of the world's most successful eco-villages. The practices of powering buses with biogas, recycling rainwater for irrigation and using organic waste for fertilizer spread to other districts of Sweden's largest city. Today the city's water is so clean that fishermen actually stand on bridges in the central business district, catching fresh salmon and trout.

Iraq's Lasting Success Will Be Measured in Barrels Per Day

June 20, 2011 |

Less than two years ago, Iraq launched one of the largest oil field auctions in the history of the petroleum industry. Amid red carpets and television cameras, top executives from the world's major energy giants - from Beijing to Houston, from Amsterdam to Kuala Lumpur - flew to Baghdad to take their seats at the live event, hoping to win a concession. On offer were some of the richest and potentially most fertile fields in the world, in a country that could one day emerge as the largest reserves holder in the world.

Erdogan's Star Is Still Rising — and Turkey Is Willing To Follow

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
June 14, 2011 |

In the spring of 1999, the mayor of Istanbul, a rising young politician with Islamist leanings, was sentenced to 10 months in jail after falling foul of Turkey's powerful generals. This military elite, often referred to as "the deep state", had deposed four prime ministers since 1960, so taking on a mayor - even in a city as important as Istanbul - was routine business.

They charged him with "inciting religious hatred" for quoting a century-old poem with Islamist themes. Defiant, the mayor vowed to his supporters: "This song is not yet over!"

The Dividend of the Revolution is a Weaker Economy

  • By
  • Afshin Molavi,
  • New America Foundation
June 8, 2011 |

When Egyptians took to the streets celebrating the departure of the long-reigning president Hosni Mubarak nearly four months ago, a wave of euphoria seemed to grip the country. A new dawn beckoned. Exhilaration abounded. The Egyptian people would decide their own destiny.

Today, while much of that pride remains, according to a newly released poll conducted by the Abu Dhabi Gallup Center, an undercurrent of anxiety about the economy and security has settled in. The dawn has broken, but the future is foggy.

After Golan Clashes, Is Israel Rethinking the Assad (or Palestine) File?

  • By
  • Daniel Levy,
  • New America Foundation
June 7, 2011 |

To most observers witnessing events in Syria, the goal is clear-cut: End the killing, support democracy, and change the Assad regime - hoping it will be removed or reformed to an unrecognizable degree. State actors looking at the same reality will often bring a different set of considerations into play, especially if they happen to be neighboring on Syria. Israel has had a complicated relationship with the popular upheaval in its northern neighbor - and, indeed, with the Ba'athist Damascus regime in general over the years.

Five Myths About Pakistan

  • By
  • Anatol Lieven,
  • New America Foundation
June 6, 2011 |

Late last month, Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton said there was no evidence that Pakistani officials had known that Osama bin Laden lived undetected blocks from the country's equivalent to West Point. But after the al-Qaeda leader was killed in Abbottabad on May 1, others were skeptical. "How could they not know?" said Sen. John Kerry (D. - Mass.). "Did nobody have some questions about who the hell was living behind those walls?"

In Bahrain: A Gulf Between U.S. Interests and Values

  • By
  • Jonathan Guyer,
  • New America Foundation
May 26, 2011 |

President Obama snatched the headlines last week as he attempted to set the tone for US strategy in a period of fluidity and political change across the Middle East. Pre-empting accusations of the hypocritical nature of US foreign policy, Obama offered this humble reflection on America's position globally: “There will be times when our short term interests do not align perfectly with our long term vision of the region.”

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